RE: OMEGA HAS A NONZERO BLOCK
From:"Kowalski, Ken"
Subject:RE: [NMusers] OMEGA HAS A NONZERO BLOCK
Date: Mon, 7 Oct 2002 14:57:44 -0400
Come on Lew, you would never question a domain expert's prior? I find that
hard to believe. Moreover, as your message suggests we often wear different
hats and sometimes assume the role of a domain expert anyway. If I was
assuming the domain expert role and was going to specify a prior I would
certainly want to provide the information to support my prior to give
credence to its use...am I the only one that feels this way? In the absence
of any 'credible' prior information, fixing the correlation to 1 is the best
we can do on the basis of the MOF and the current data. I'm assuming that
fixing the correlation to 0.5 is inconsistent with the current data in hand
(i.e., a considerably higher MOF). Nevertheless, if there is credible extra
information that the correlation is better represented by being fixed at
0.5, then that's fine. Serge's simulation results though seem to suggest
that the correlation being estimated on the boundary value of 1 is more
likely to occur when the true correlation is indeed high...presumably higher
than 0.5 (Serge correct me if I'm overstating your results).
Ken