From: peter.bonate@quintiles.com
Subject: Covariate screening
Date: Thu, 31 May 2001 07:59:09 -0500
Are there any published papers on whether covariate screening techniques (GAMs or other regression based methods) are the same, inferior,or superior to testing all possible covariate combinations within NONMEM?
Thanks
Pete Bonate
Covariate screening
4 messages
3 people
Latest: May 31, 2001
From: "Sale, Mark" <ms93267@GlaxoWellcome.com>
Subject: RE: Covariate screening
Date: Thu, 31 May 2001 09:45:58 -0400
All possible covariates?
Stuart, Nancy Sambol and Janet Wades paper (J Pharmacol Biopharm, 22(2) 1994 - Interactions between structural, statistical and covariate models in population pk analysis) tells us that we cannot examine covariates in isolation, since interactions can occur. So we would need to look at all combinations of covariates. Lets see, if we have the basic covariates (age, wt, gender, race) on each of 4 basic parameters (V, CL, Ka, Lag), using each of two models (linear and exponential) in addition to no relationship we have: 3^4^4 = 43,046,721 possible models. Clearly we need some sort of screening. We recently had a poster at ASCPT looking at whether a machine learning method (genetic algorithm) can find the "best" among a finite set of candidate models (structural, error and covariate models), comparing it to exhaustive search. Basically it worked pretty well. At some point, we'll compare this "artificial intelligence" method prospectively to "natural intelligence" methods, assuming we can find some around here.
Mark
From: peter.bonate@quintiles.com
Subject: Covariate screening #2
Date: Thu, 31 May 2001 09:11:32 -0500
In my first note I asked:
Are there any published papers on whether covariate screening techniques (GAMs or other regression based methods) are the same, inferior,or superior to testing all possible covariate combinations within NONMEM?
Let me rephrase the question:
Are there any published papers on whether covariate screening techniques (GAMs or other regression based methods) are the same, inferior,or superior to screening covariates within NONMEM?
Thanks
pete bonate
From: Mats Karlsson <Mats.Karlsson@farmbio.uu.se>
Subject: Re: Covariate screening
Date: Thu, 31 May 2001 16:14:01 +0200
Dear Peter,
I don't know if anyone has done exhaustive looks at covariate modesl using NONMEM. It would be requiring quite a lot of runs for all but the simplest cases if you want to do statistical simulations. Two papers I know of (there may well be more) that address the issue at least partially are
Jonsson EN, Karlsson MO.
Automated covariate model building within NONMEM.
Pharm Res. 1998 Sep;15(9):1463-8.
and
a paper by Kowalski et al. in the next issue of J Pharmacokin Pharmacodyn
Best regards,
Mats
--
Mats Karlsson, PhD
Professor of Pharmacometrics
Div. of Pharmacokinetics and Drug Therapy
Dept. of Pharmaceutical Biosciences
Faculty of Pharmacy
Uppsala University
Box 591
SE-751 24 Uppsala
Sweden
phone +46 18 471 4105
fax +46 18 471 4003
mats.karlsson@farmbio.uu.se