RE: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK

From: James G Wright Date: December 10, 2008 technical Source: mail-archive.com
>Nick Holford wrote: >Non-proportionality (aka non-linearity) of metabolite formation from >parent is not really an issue. With the right design (i.e. suitable >doses of parent) then this can be discovered from just giving the >parent. The key assumptions of metabolite models are about how the metabolite is formed - linearly or nonlinearly, from plasma or during first-pass, immediately or not. Making sure your assumptions are true is really the issue for me with any analysis. >But to really know how much of the parent is eventually >transformed to the metabolite needs additional information i.e. direct >administration of the metabolite. Of course, if fraction formed is the parameter that you need to estimate. Fitting a metabolite PK model is not dependent on assuming 100% metabolite formation from parent, as you originally stated, unless you mislabel the parameters as actual CL, instead of CL/F. Not knowing F doesn't affect the application and predictive utility of the model any more than not knowing F for the parent after oral administration. The widespread presentation of "F=1" as an "unverifiable assumption" causes model end-users to suspect that the assumption could in some sense be wrong ("Aah, but how do you know F=1?"), leading to the perception that the metabolite model is misleading and unreliable. I think it would be helpful if you could explicitly retract your assertion regarding the assumption "that all drug goes to metabolite". The "F=1 fallacy" has caused me no end of stress over the years, and next time I may have to contend with the (almost irrefutable) argument "but Nick Holford said it was true". Best regards, James James G Wright wrote: > Hi Nick, > > I hope all is well with you - good to see you are keeping the nmusers in > line :-). > > I am not sure I agree with your second paragraph as I have understood > it. When I fit a parent-metabolite model, I estimate CL/F and V/F for > the metabolite. Frequently, I hear the widespread misconception that I > have assumed all of the parent goes to metabolite, but this would only > be true if I claimed to have estimated CL, rather than CL/F. This is > exactly the same as if I analyse the parent after oral administration > (without IV) - we don't assume all the drug is absorbed, we simply > estimated the ratio of CL and V to F. > > The real assumption lies in the form of the link between parent and > metabolite - for example, that it is linearly formed from parent in > plasma. It is this assumption that may need to be more rigorously > evaluated, and exactly the point highlighted in your first paragraph. > For example, there can be an apparent delay in metabolite formation > relative to parent plasma concentrations and/or the metabolite may be > formed during the first-pass. > > Best regards, James > > PS One can get technical and claim there needs to be a correction for > molecular weight in F for the metabolite, but the importance of this > depends on how the parameter will actually be used. > > James G Wright PhD > Scientist > Wright Dose Ltd > Tel: 44 (0) 772 5636914 > >
Quoted reply history
> -----Original Message----- > From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > On Behalf Of Nick Holford > Sent: 09 December 2008 20:52 > To: [email protected] > Subject: Re: [NMusers] Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent > AND metabolites in pop PK > > Alan, > > The comments about sequential vs simultaneous modelling apply for any > kind of multivariate approach. The 'driver' model e.g. parent conc for > metabolite or the 'driven' model e.g. metabolite from parent will be > dependent on having a good driver model first. If the driver plus driven > > dont do well together with a simultaneous fit then this is a clue to > model misspecification. > > Parent-metabolite models nearly always have to make at least one > unverifiable assumption if the metabolite is not given directly. (e.g. > one may assume all of the parent goes to metabolite OR assume a volume > for the metabolite). PKPD models also have unverifiable assumptions e.g. > > concentration at the site of the drug effect. > > Nick > > Xiao, Alan wrote: > >> Dear All, >> >> Thanks for your response and I'm sorry for the confusion. >> >> I'm talking about the sequential/simultaneous modeling to fit parent >> concentrations AND metabolites in pop PK, not about PD data at all. >> >> That is for sequential approach, you develop a model to fit the parent >> > data > >> first and then fix the PK parameters for parents to develop a model >> to fit the metabolite. While, for simultaneous approach, you develop a >> > model to > >> fit both parent and metabolites simultaneously >> (to simultaneously estimate parameters for both parent and >> > metabolites). > >> Alan >> >> -----Original Message----- >> From: Bachman, William [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] >> Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2008 11:26 AM >> To: Xiao, Alan >> Cc: [email protected] >> Subject: RE: [NMusers] Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent >> AND metabolites in pop PK >> >> >> The argument against the simultaneous approach is that the PD data can >> "drive" the PK model, particulary since the PD data usually has more >> variability. >> >> -----Original Message----- >> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] >> > [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > >> On Behalf Of Xiao, Alan >> Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2008 11:02 AM >> To: [email protected] >> Subject: [NMusers] Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND >> metabolites in pop PK >> >> Dear All, >> >> I know this is an old topic but would like to see the statistics. >> >> When you have to develop a pop PK model for both parent and active >> metabolites, which approach do you prefer or have you used most: >> simultaneous or sequential? Which way do you think is more scientific? >> > I > >> heard comments saying that the simultaneous approach is not >> > scientific. > >> Thanks, >> >> Alan >>
Dec 09, 2008 Alan Xiao Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 09, 2008 Atul Bhattaram Venkatesh RE: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 09, 2008 William Bachman RE: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 09, 2008 Ziad Hussein RE: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 09, 2008 Murad Melhem Re: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 09, 2008 Xiaofeng . Wang RE: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 09, 2008 Nick Holford Re: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 09, 2008 James G Wright RE: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 10, 2008 Nick Holford Re: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 10, 2008 James G Wright RE: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 10, 2008 Mahesh Samtani RE: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 10, 2008 Yaning Wang RE: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 11, 2008 Nick Holford Re: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 11, 2008 Andreas Lindauer Re: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK
Dec 11, 2008 James G Wright RE: Re: Simultaneous vs sequential for modeling parent AND metabolites in pop PK