Re: Prediction intervals

From: Lewis B. Sheiner Date: November 21, 1999 technical Source: cognigencorp.com
Date: Sun, 21 Nov 1999 08:12:51 -0800 From: Lewis Sheiner <lewis@c255.ucsf.edu> Subject: Re: Prediction intervals Yes. Simulate the desired prediction under the desired design for say 500 simulated patients and use the percentiles of the simulated distribution to estimate the desired interval. This prediction interval is CONDITIONAL on the model; it does not involve model uncertainty. To obtain an interal with model uncertainty is more difficult. LBS. -- Lewis B Sheiner Professor, Lab. Med., Biopharmaceut. Sci, Med. Box 0626 - UCSF 415-476-1965 (voice) San Francisco, CA 415-476-2796 (fax) 94143 lewis@c255.ucsf.edu
Nov 19, 1999 Tomas Martin Prediction intervals
Nov 21, 1999 Lewis B. Sheiner Re: Prediction intervals