mid-infusion higher than end of infusion

9 messages 9 people Latest: Jul 11, 2007

mid-infusion higher than end of infusion

From: Peter Bonate Date: July 10, 2007 technical
Dear all, I have a very unusual situation and wanted to see about getting the collective opinion on the group regarding the best way to handle this modeling problem. I have a drug that is given by 30 minute infusion. Samples were collected at predose, mid-infusion, end of infusion, and serial thereafter for 8 halflives. In about a third of the samples the mid-infusion sample had a considerably higher concentration (25 to 50%)than the end of infusion concentration. This phenomenon occurred across multiple studies, on multiple days (although not always in the same subject twice), and across multiple analytical runs. I have ruled out switched tubes and analytical error. For a variety of reasons this appears to be a valid phenomenon. Now, how best to model it or even explain it. The best I have been able to come up with is it is a distribution phenomenon. In discussions with another modeler I was informed that he just reviewed a paper having the same phenomenon and in that paper the authors discarded the midinfusion data. I have tried using time-dependent volumes using continuous and change-point functions. I get modest improvements in goodness of fit compared to completely ignoring the phenomenon which has a residual variability of about 30% using a 3-C model. As a company we have decided to pursue an oral formulation of this drug so it seems to me that modeling the iv data to the point of completely capturing the phenomenon may be a modeling exercise and not of any real value any longer. Any opinions on the validity of throwing out the data, just running with the model that ignores the phenomenon and has high residual variability, or something else I haven't been able to think of would be appreciated. Thanks, pete bonate Peter L. Bonate, PhD, FCP Genzyme Corporation Senior Director, Pharmacokinetics 4545 Horizon Hill Blvd San Antonio, TX 78229 USA [EMAIL PROTECTED] phone: 210-949-8662 fax: 210-949-8219 blackberry cell: 210-315-2713

Re: mid-infusion higher than end of infusion

From: Paul Hutson Date: July 10, 2007 technical
Title: Paul R Peter: The low hanging fruit answer might be that your drug is binding to neutrophils, and that over the course of the infusion there is enhanced margination of these PMNs. Marginated to the endothelium, they and their adsorbed drug would not be measured. PS. Your book is great. Paul Bonate, Peter wrote: Dear all, I have a very unusual situation and wanted to see about getting the collective opinion on the group regarding the best way to handle this modeling problem. I have a drug that is given by 30 minute infusion. Samples were collected at predose, mid-infusion, end of infusion, and serial thereafter for 8 halflives. In about a third of the samples the mid-infusion sample had a considerably higher concentration (25 to 50%)than the end of infusion concentration. This phenomenon occurred across multiple studies, on multiple days (although not always in the same subject twice), and across multiple analytical runs. I have ruled out switched tubes and analytical error. For a variety of reasons this appears to be a valid phenomenon. Now, how best to model it or even explain it. The best I have been able to come up with is it is a distribution phenomenon. In discussions with another modeler I was informed that he just reviewed a paper having the same phenomenon and in that paper the authors discarded the midinfusion data. I have tried using time-dependent volumes using continuous and change-point functions. I get modest improvements in goodness of fit compared to completely ignoring the phenomenon which has a residual variability of about 30% using a 3-C model. As a company we have decided to pursue an oral formulation of this drug so it seems to me that modeling the iv data to the point of completely capturing the phenomenon may be a modeling exercise and not of any real value any longer. Any opinions on the validity of throwing out the data, just running with the model that ignores the phenomenon and has high residual variability, or something else I haven't been able to think of would be appreciated. Thanks, pete bonate Peter L. Bonate, PhD, FCP Genzyme Corporation Senior Director, Pharmacokinetics 4545 Horizon Hill Blvd San Antonio, TX 78229 USA [EMAIL PROTECTED] phone: 210-949-8662 fax: 210-949-8219 blackberry cell: 210-315-2713 -- Paul R. Hutson, Pharm.D. Associate Professor UW School of Pharmacy 777 Highland Avenue Madison WI 53705-2222 Tel 608.263.2496 Fax 608.265.5421 Pager 608.265.7000, p7856
Peter, you do not specify what model you use. With any linear model in PREDPP, or with the usual linear models in $DES, the drug in the depot is governed by differential equations equivalent to DADT(1)=R1-K10*A(1) ;where R1 is the infusion rate, K10 is elimination This produces a monotonically rising A(1) which, if the infusion time is great enough, reaches its steady state value DADT(1)=0, A(1)=R1/K10. Sounds like this is what you expect to see. But what if DADT is not linear? What if K10 increases with time, or increases with rising A(1)? If for some reason the effective K10 increases with time, then A(1) will peak and then start dropping, even as the constant rate infusion continues. Or, F1 may in effect change with time. That is, effective R1 may decrease with time, even though the infusion is constant. Again, A(1) decreases from its peak. Paul's suggestion that the drug is binding to something may well be modelled as a change in F1 or effective K10. If your drug goes into a depot and then to central compartment, then the same remarks apply: DADT(2)=K12*A(1)-K20*A(2) may not apply. Maybe K20 increases with time, or increases with larger A(2). Or maybe K12 falls with time, or falls with increasing A(2) or decreasing A(1). My suggestion is that you consider a non-linear differential equation, using one of these ideas. You are all more familar with emax and tolerance models than I am, so I will not say anything about the exact form of such a model, or what the physiological explanation might be. (Probably you know all this already, and it is only the physiology that is in question.)
Quoted reply history
On Tue, 10 Jul 2007 14:11:26 -0500, "Paul Hutson" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> said: > Peter: The low hanging fruit answer might be that your drug is binding > to neutrophils, and that over the course of the infusion there is > enhanced margination of these PMNs. Marginated to the endothelium, > they and their adsorbed drug would not be measured. > PS. Your book is great. Paul Bonate, Peter wrote: > > Dear all, > > > > I have a very unusual situation and wanted to see about getting the > collective opinion on the group regarding the best way to handle this > modeling problem. I have a drug that is given by 30 minute infusion. > Samples were collected at predose, mid-infusion, end of infusion, and > serial thereafter for 8 halflives. In about a third of the samples > the mid-infusion sample had a considerably higher concentration (25 to > 50%)than the end of infusion concentration. This phenomenon occurred > across multiple studies, on multiple days (although not always in the > same subject twice), and across multiple analytical runs. I have > ruled out switched tubes and analytical error. For a variety of > reasons this appears to be a valid phenomenon. > > > > Now, how best to model it or even explain it. The best I have been > able to come up with is it is a distribution phenomenon. In > discussions with another modeler I was informed that he just > reviewed a paper having the same phenomenon and in that paper the > authors discarded the midinfusion data. I have tried using time- > dependent volumes using continuous and change-point functions. I > get modest improvements in goodness of fit compared to completely > ignoring the phenomenon which has a residual variability of about > 30% using a 3-C model. > > > > As a company we have decided to pursue an oral formulation of this > drug so it seems to me that modeling the iv data to the point of > completely capturing the phenomenon may be a modeling exercise and not > of any real value any longer. > > > > Any opinions on the validity of throwing out the data, just running > with the model that ignores the phenomenon and has high residual > variability, or something else I haven't been able to think of would > be appreciated. > > > > Thanks, > > > > pete bonate > > > > Peter L. Bonate, PhD, FCP > > Genzyme Corporation > > Senior Director, Pharmacokinetics > > 4545 Horizon Hill Blvd > > San Antonio, TX 78229 USA > > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > phone: 210-949-8662 > > fax: 210-949-8219 > > blackberry cell: 210-315-2713 > > > > -- > > Paul R. Hutson, Pharm.D. > > Associate Professor > > UW School of Pharmacy > > 777 Highland Avenue > > Madison WI 53705-2222 > > Tel 608.263.2496 > > Fax 608.265.5421 > > Pager 608.265.7000, p7856 > > References > > 1. mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] -- Alison Boeckmann [EMAIL PROTECTED]

RE: mid-infusion higher than end of infusion

From: Bruce Charles Date: July 11, 2007 technical
We saw this behavior with doxorubicin infused over 20 min to parrots and it seems to be quite reproducible (Gilbert et al. Aust Vet J 2004; 82:769-772) . We put it down to mid-infusion fluctuations in serum levels as a result of altered cardiac output from the concentrated infused drug, based on the papers by Richard Upton (Br J Anaesth 2004; 92:475-484 ; Intensive Care Med 2001; 27: 276-282). Cheers BC Bruce CHARLES, PhD Associate Professor School of Pharmacy The University of Queensland, 4072 Australia [University Provider Number: 00025B] TEL: +61 7 336 53194 FAX: +61 7 336 51688 [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://www.uq.edu.au/pharmacy/brucecharles/charles.html
Quoted reply history
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Bonate, Peter Sent: Wednesday, July 11, 2007 3:01 AM To: [email protected]; [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [NMusers] mid-infusion higher than end of infusion Dear all, I have a very unusual situation and wanted to see about getting the collective opinion on the group regarding the best way to handle this modeling problem. I have a drug that is given by 30 minute infusion. Samples were collected at predose, mid-infusion, end of infusion, and serial thereafter for 8 halflives. In about a third of the samples the mid-infusion sample had a considerably higher concentration (25 to 50%)than the end of infusion concentration. This phenomenon occurred across multiple studies, on multiple days (although not always in the same subject twice), and across multiple analytical runs. I have ruled out switched tubes and analytical error. For a variety of reasons this appears to be a valid phenomenon. Now, how best to model it or even explain it. The best I have been able to come up with is it is a distribution phenomenon. In discussions with another modeler I was informed that he just reviewed a paper having the same phenomenon and in that paper the authors discarded the midinfusion data. I have tried using time-dependent volumes using continuous and change-point functions. I get modest improvements in goodness of fit compared to completely ignoring the phenomenon which has a residual variability of about 30% using a 3-C model. As a company we have decided to pursue an oral formulation of this drug so it seems to me that modeling the iv data to the point of completely capturing the phenomenon may be a modeling exercise and not of any real value any longer. Any opinions on the validity of throwing out the data, just running with the model that ignores the phenomenon and has high residual variability, or something else I haven't been able to think of would be appreciated. Thanks, pete bonate Peter L. Bonate, PhD, FCP Genzyme Corporation Senior Director, Pharmacokinetics 4545 Horizon Hill Blvd San Antonio, TX 78229 USA [EMAIL PROTECTED] phone: 210-949-8662 fax: 210-949-8219 blackberry cell: 210-315-2713

RE: mid-infusion higher than end of infusion

From: Diane Mould Date: July 11, 2007 technical
Hi Pete I assume that this compound is NOT a biologic, owing to the plans for oral formulation, but can you give any information on the general class of agent that you are dealing with? That can provide some information on possible causes of this sort of behavior such as what Bruce suggests below. You could also get extravasation or some local inflammation that is causing altered PK in the case of anti-neoplastic agents Diane _____
Quoted reply history
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Bruce Charles Sent: Tuesday, July 10, 2007 8:06 PM To: Bonate, Peter; [email protected]; [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: RE: [NMusers] mid-infusion higher than end of infusion We saw this behavior with doxorubicin infused over 20 min to parrots and it seems to be quite reproducible (Gilbert et al. Aust Vet J 2004; 82:769-772) . We put it down to mid-infusion fluctuations in serum levels as a result of altered cardiac output from the concentrated infused drug, based on the papers by Richard Upton (Br J Anaesth 2004; 92:475-484 ; Intensive Care Med 2001; 27: 276-282). Cheers BC Bruce CHARLES, PhD Associate Professor School of Pharmacy The University of Queensland, 4072 Australia [University Provider Number: 00025B] TEL: +61 7 336 53194 FAX: +61 7 336 51688 [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://www.uq.edu.au/pharmacy/brucecharles/charles.html From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Bonate, Peter Sent: Wednesday, July 11, 2007 3:01 AM To: [email protected]; [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [NMusers] mid-infusion higher than end of infusion Dear all, I have a very unusual situation and wanted to see about getting the collective opinion on the group regarding the best way to handle this modeling problem. I have a drug that is given by 30 minute infusion. Samples were collected at predose, mid-infusion, end of infusion, and serial thereafter for 8 halflives. In about a third of the samples the mid-infusion sample had a considerably higher concentration (25 to 50%)than the end of infusion concentration. This phenomenon occurred across multiple studies, on multiple days (although not always in the same subject twice), and across multiple analytical runs. I have ruled out switched tubes and analytical error. For a variety of reasons this appears to be a valid phenomenon. Now, how best to model it or even explain it. The best I have been able to come up with is it is a distribution phenomenon. In discussions with another modeler I was informed that he just reviewed a paper having the same phenomenon and in that paper the authors discarded the midinfusion data. I have tried using time-dependent volumes using continuous and change-point functions. I get modest improvements in goodness of fit compared to completely ignoring the phenomenon which has a residual variability of about 30% using a 3-C model. As a company we have decided to pursue an oral formulation of this drug so it seems to me that modeling the iv data to the point of completely capturing the phenomenon may be a modeling exercise and not of any real value any longer. Any opinions on the validity of throwing out the data, just running with the model that ignores the phenomenon and has high residual variability, or something else I haven't been able to think of would be appreciated. Thanks, pete bonate Peter L. Bonate, PhD, FCP Genzyme Corporation Senior Director, Pharmacokinetics 4545 Horizon Hill Blvd San Antonio, TX 78229 USA [EMAIL PROTECTED] phone: 210-949-8662 fax: 210-949-8219 blackberry cell: 210-315-2713

RE: mid-infusion higher than end of infusion

From: James G Wright Date: July 11, 2007 technical
Hi Peter, A difference of substantial magnitude in a 30-minute infusion would suggest to me that the rate of input or time of sampling is not precisely controlled. Sorry to be boring, but every time I have seen this so far it has been explained by the administration or sampling procedure. That the phenomenon is not necessarily reproducible in the same subject partially supports this interpretation, as an explanation requires substantial within-subject variation (which is actually why the netrophil-binding idea is particularly clever). It is common in studies for the end-of-infusion sample to in fact be just after the end of the infusion (when concentration is falling, usually rapidly) even when your protocol specifically disallows this. Best regards, James James G Wright PhD Scientist Wright Dose Ltd Tel: 44 (0) 772 5636914 www.wright-dose.com http://www.wright-dose.com/
Quoted reply history
-----Original Message----- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Bonate, Peter Sent: 10 July 2007 18:01 To: [email protected]; [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [NMusers] mid-infusion higher than end of infusion Dear all, I have a very unusual situation and wanted to see about getting the collective opinion on the group regarding the best way to handle this modeling problem. I have a drug that is given by 30 minute infusion. Samples were collected at predose, mid-infusion, end of infusion, and serial thereafter for 8 halflives. In about a third of the samples the mid-infusion sample had a considerably higher concentration (25 to 50%)than the end of infusion concentration. This phenomenon occurred across multiple studies, on multiple days (although not always in the same subject twice), and across multiple analytical runs. I have ruled out switched tubes and analytical error. For a variety of reasons this appears to be a valid phenomenon. Now, how best to model it or even explain it. The best I have been able to come up with is it is a distribution phenomenon. In discussions with another modeler I was informed that he just reviewed a paper having the same phenomenon and in that paper the authors discarded the midinfusion data. I have tried using time-dependent volumes using continuous and change-point functions. I get modest improvements in goodness of fit compared to completely ignoring the phenomenon which has a residual variability of about 30% using a 3-C model. As a company we have decided to pursue an oral formulation of this drug so it seems to me that modeling the iv data to the point of completely capturing the phenomenon may be a modeling exercise and not of any real value any longer. Any opinions on the validity of throwing out the data, just running with the model that ignores the phenomenon and has high residual variability, or something else I haven't been able to think of would be appreciated. Thanks, pete bonate Peter L. Bonate, PhD, FCP Genzyme Corporation Senior Director, Pharmacokinetics 4545 Horizon Hill Blvd San Antonio, TX 78229 USA [EMAIL PROTECTED] phone: 210-949-8662 fax: 210-949-8219 blackberry cell: 210-315-2713
Although physiological explanations can not be completely discarded, by the principles of Occam's Razor, one should look for simple explanations first. I agree with James that infusion variability may be a likely cause. In my experience infusion pumps are not nearly as precise as you'd think they'd be. ----- Forwarded by Michael J Fossler/PharmRD/GSK on 07/11/2007 08:38 AM ----- "James G Wright" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent by: [EMAIL PROTECTED] 11-Jul-2007 05:24 To [email protected] cc Subject RE: [NMusers] mid-infusion higher than end of infusion Hi Peter, A difference of substantial magnitude in a 30-minute infusion would suggest to me that the rate of input or time of sampling is not precisely controlled. Sorry to be boring, but every time I have seen this so far it has been explained by the administration or sampling procedure. That the phenomenon is not necessarily reproducible in the same subject partially supports this interpretation, as an explanation requires substantial within-subject variation (which is actually why the netrophil-binding idea is particularly clever). It is common in studies for the end-of-infusion sample to in fact be just after the end of the infusion (when concentration is falling, usually rapidly) even when your protocol specifically disallows this. Best regards, James James G Wright PhD Scientist Wright Dose Ltd Tel: 44 (0) 772 5636914 www.wright-dose.com
Quoted reply history
-----Original Message----- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Bonate, Peter Sent: 10 July 2007 18:01 To: [email protected]; [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [NMusers] mid-infusion higher than end of infusion Dear all, I have a very unusual situation and wanted to see about getting the collective opinion on the group regarding the best way to handle this modeling problem. I have a drug that is given by 30 minute infusion. Samples were collected at predose, mid-infusion, end of infusion, and serial thereafter for 8 halflives. In about a third of the samples the mid-infusion sample had a considerably higher concentration (25 to 50%)than the end of infusion concentration. This phenomenon occurred across multiple studies, on multiple days (although not always in the same subject twice), and across multiple analytical runs. I have ruled out switched tubes and analytical error. For a variety of reasons this appears to be a valid phenomenon. Now, how best to model it or even explain it. The best I have been able to come up with is it is a distribution phenomenon. In discussions with another modeler I was informed that he just reviewed a paper having the same phenomenon and in that paper the authors discarded the midinfusion data. I have tried using time-dependent volumes using continuous and change-point functions. I get modest improvements in goodness of fit compared to completely ignoring the phenomenon which has a residual variability of about 30% using a 3-C model. As a company we have decided to pursue an oral formulation of this drug so it seems to me that modeling the iv data to the point of completely capturing the phenomenon may be a modeling exercise and not of any real value any longer. Any opinions on the validity of throwing out the data, just running with the model that ignores the phenomenon and has high residual variability, or something else I haven't been able to think of would be appreciated. Thanks, pete bonate Peter L. Bonate, PhD, FCP Genzyme Corporation Senior Director, Pharmacokinetics 4545 Horizon Hill Blvd San Antonio, TX 78229 USA [EMAIL PROTECTED] phone: 210-949-8662 fax: 210-949-8219 blackberry cell: 210-315-2713 <<image/jpeg>>

RE: mid-infusion higher than end of infusion

From: Rene Bruno Date: July 11, 2007 technical
Hi everybody, Of course poor control of the infusion rate can be an issue and also make sure that the end of infusion sample is performed just before the end of infusion rather than just (or some time) after. If these issues are clarified then binding of the drug to circulating cells or receptors could be an explanation... for example, this phenomenon is pretty common with monoclonal antibodies that bind to circulating receptors. Rene
Quoted reply history
________________________________ From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of James G Wright Sent: Wednesday, July 11, 2007 11:25 AM To: [email protected] Subject: RE: [NMusers] mid-infusion higher than end of infusion Hi Peter, A difference of substantial magnitude in a 30-minute infusion would suggest to me that the rate of input or time of sampling is not precisely controlled. Sorry to be boring, but every time I have seen this so far it has been explained by the administration or sampling procedure. That the phenomenon is not necessarily reproducible in the same subject partially supports this interpretation, as an explanation requires substantial within-subject variation (which is actually why the netrophil-binding idea is particularly clever). It is common in studies for the end-of-infusion sample to in fact be just after the end of the infusion (when concentration is falling, usually rapidly) even when your protocol specifically disallows this. Best regards, James James G Wright PhD Scientist Wright Dose Ltd Tel: 44 (0) 772 5636914 www.wright-dose.com http://www.wright-dose.com/ -----Original Message----- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Bonate, Peter Sent: 10 July 2007 18:01 To: [email protected]; [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [NMusers] mid-infusion higher than end of infusion Dear all, I have a very unusual situation and wanted to see about getting the collective opinion on the group regarding the best way to handle this modeling problem. I have a drug that is given by 30 minute infusion. Samples were collected at predose, mid-infusion, end of infusion, and serial thereafter for 8 halflives. In about a third of the samples the mid-infusion sample had a considerably higher concentration (25 to 50%)than the end of infusion concentration. This phenomenon occurred across multiple studies, on multiple days (although not always in the same subject twice), and across multiple analytical runs. I have ruled out switched tubes and analytical error. For a variety of reasons this appears to be a valid phenomenon. Now, how best to model it or even explain it. The best I have been able to come up with is it is a distribution phenomenon. In discussions with another modeler I was informed that he just reviewed a paper having the same phenomenon and in that paper the authors discarded the midinfusion data. I have tried using time-dependent volumes using continuous and change-point functions. I get modest improvements in goodness of fit compared to completely ignoring the phenomenon which has a residual variability of about 30% using a 3-C model. As a company we have decided to pursue an oral formulation of this drug so it seems to me that modeling the iv data to the point of completely capturing the phenomenon may be a modeling exercise and not of any real value any longer. Any opinions on the validity of throwing out the data, just running with the model that ignores the phenomenon and has high residual variability, or something else I haven't been able to think of would be appreciated. Thanks, pete bonate Peter L. Bonate, PhD, FCP Genzyme Corporation Senior Director, Pharmacokinetics 4545 Horizon Hill Blvd San Antonio, TX 78229 USA [EMAIL PROTECTED] phone: 210-949-8662 fax: 210-949-8219 blackberry cell: 210-315-2713

RE: mid-infusion higher than end of infusion

From: Alan Xiao Date: July 11, 2007 technical
I saw similar problems because of operation procedures for compounds with rapid decay after the end of infusion. Therefore it is essential to make sure the PK sample at the end of infusion is collected right before the end of infusion rather than post the end of infusion. Just curious about the binding issue. Could anyone describe a little bit more about this? Will this happen for a 30-minute infusion? How about for a 6-hour infusion or 24-hour continuous infusion? That is, is there a time scale/limit to observe this phenomenon (because of the binding variation with time)? Is this also dependent on the infusion rate and concentration? Alan
Quoted reply history
-----Original Message----- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of Rene Bruno Sent: Wednesday, July 11, 2007 8:50 AM To: James G Wright; [email protected] Subject: RE: [NMusers] mid-infusion higher than end of infusion Hi everybody, Of course poor control of the infusion rate can be an issue and also make sure that the end of infusion sample is performed just before the end of infusion rather than just (or some time) after. If these issues are clarified then binding of the drug to circulating cells or receptors could be an explanation... for example, this phenomenon is pretty common with monoclonal antibodies that bind to circulating receptors. Rene _____ From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of James G Wright Sent: Wednesday, July 11, 2007 11:25 AM To: [email protected] Subject: RE: [NMusers] mid-infusion higher than end of infusion Hi Peter, A difference of substantial magnitude in a 30-minute infusion would suggest to me that the rate of input or time of sampling is not precisely controlled. Sorry to be boring, but every time I have seen this so far it has been explained by the administration or sampling procedure. That the phenomenon is not necessarily reproducible in the same subject partially supports this interpretation, as an explanation requires substantial within-subject variation (which is actually why the netrophil-binding idea is particularly clever). It is common in studies for the end-of-infusion sample to in fact be just after the end of the infusion (when concentration is falling, usually rapidly) even when your protocol specifically disallows this. Best regards, James James G Wright PhD Scientist Wright Dose Ltd Tel: 44 (0) 772 5636914 www.wright-dose.com http://www.wright-dose.com/ -----Original Message----- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Bonate, Peter Sent: 10 July 2007 18:01 To: [email protected]; [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [NMusers] mid-infusion higher than end of infusion Dear all, I have a very unusual situation and wanted to see about getting the collective opinion on the group regarding the best way to handle this modeling problem. I have a drug that is given by 30 minute infusion. Samples were collected at predose, mid-infusion, end of infusion, and serial thereafter for 8 halflives. In about a third of the samples the mid-infusion sample had a considerably higher concentration (25 to 50%)than the end of infusion concentration. This phenomenon occurred across multiple studies, on multiple days (although not always in the same subject twice), and across multiple analytical runs. I have ruled out switched tubes and analytical error. For a variety of reasons this appears to be a valid phenomenon. Now, how best to model it or even explain it. The best I have been able to come up with is it is a distribution phenomenon. In discussions with another modeler I was informed that he just reviewed a paper having the same phenomenon and in that paper the authors discarded the midinfusion data. I have tried using time-dependent volumes using continuous and change-point functions. I get modest improvements in goodness of fit compared to completely ignoring the phenomenon which has a residual variability of about 30% using a 3-C model. As a company we have decided to pursue an oral formulation of this drug so it seems to me that modeling the iv data to the point of completely capturing the phenomenon may be a modeling exercise and not of any real value any longer. Any opinions on the validity of throwing out the data, just running with the model that ignores the phenomenon and has high residual variability, or something else I haven't been able to think of would be appreciated. Thanks, pete bonate Peter L. Bonate, PhD, FCP Genzyme Corporation Senior Director, Pharmacokinetics 4545 Horizon Hill Blvd San Antonio, TX 78229 USA [EMAIL PROTECTED] phone: 210-949-8662 fax: 210-949-8219 blackberry cell: 210-315-2713