Estimation method using ITS and IMP iterations

From: Nathalie Perdaems Date: November 10, 2016 technical Source: cognigen.com
Dear NONMEM users, I am building a relatively complex PKPD model (with 47 parameters and 11 differential equations). I had problems using FOCE so I am trying this estimation method : $EST METHOD=ITS INTERACTION LAPLACE NITER 0 SIG=3 PRINT=1 SIGL= 6 NOHABORT CTYPE=3 NUMERICAL SLOW $EST METHOD=IMPMAP ISAMPLE00 INTERACTION LAPLACE NITER00 SIG= 3 PRINT=1 SIGL=6 NOHABORT CTYPE=3 IACCEPT=0.4 MAPITER=0 RANMETHOD=3S2 $COV UNCONDITIONAL MATRIX=S TOL SIGL SLOW The iteration for the ITS step seems to be quite stable with some artefacts: iteration 175 OBJ= 4693.4674554341409 iteration 176 OBJ= 4694.2296104065535 iteration 177 OBJ= 4693.7753507970829 iteration 178 OBJ= 4693.9600270372885 iteration 179 OBJ= 4693.5732455834705 iteration 180 OBJ= 4693.6386423202493 iteration 181 OBJ= 4693.6215390721527 iteration 182 OBJ= 4693.6006496138452 iteration 183 OBJ= 4693.7877620448235 iteration 184 OBJ= 4694.1591757809929 iteration 185 OBJ= 4693.2614956897451 iteration 186 OBJ= 4693.5641640401127 iteration 187 OBJ= 4693.5575289919379 iteration 188 OBJ= 4495.6489907149398 iteration 189 OBJ= 4693.7711764252363 iteration 190 OBJ= 4693.6281175153035 iteration 191 OBJ= 4694.1171774559862 iteration 192 OBJ= 4693.7908707845536 iteration 193 OBJ= 4693.7709264605819 iteration 194 OBJ= 4495.9262902940209 iteration 195 OBJ= 4693.3321354894242 iteration 196 OBJ= 4694.3177205227348 iteration 197 OBJ= 4694.1301486616576 iteration 198 OBJ= 4694.2898587322170 iteration 199 OBJ= 4693.8304358341920 iteration 200 OBJ= 4691.6818293505230 #TERM: OPTIMIZATION WAS NOT COMPLETED The IMP step seems less stable : iteration 120 OBJ= 4314.8310660241377 eff.= 446. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96389 iteration 121 OBJ= 4326.9079856676717 eff.= 448. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96409 iteration 122 OBJ= 4164.6649529423103 eff.= 479. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96392 iteration 123 OBJ= 4299.9887619753636 eff.= 432. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96395 iteration 124 OBJ= 4303.9571213327054 eff.= 399. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96349 iteration 125 OBJ= 4328.9835950930074 eff.= 417. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96423 iteration 126 OBJ= 4304.3861595488252 eff.= 550. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96392 iteration 127 OBJ= 4291.0862736663648 eff.= 422. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96430 iteration 128 OBJ= 4326.2378678645500 eff.= 407. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96409 iteration 129 OBJ= 4157.5352046539456 eff.= 406. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96404 iteration 130 OBJ= 4332.6894073732456 eff.= 399. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96399 iteration 131 OBJ= 4357.5343346793761 eff.= 493. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96414 Convergence achieved iteration 131 OBJ= 4336.1893012015007 eff.= 417. Smpl.= 1000. Fit.= 0.96369 #TERM: OPTIMIZATION WAS COMPLETED I think the ITS step is OK with an objective function ~ 4690. The "unstability" of the IMP step is it usual ? Nonmem is completed at the end.... I want to trust in this model, but am I right ? Thanks in advance for your answers. Nathalie
Nov 10, 2016 Nathalie Perdaems Estimation method using ITS and IMP iterations
Nov 10, 2016 Nathalie Perdaems Estimation method using ITS and IMP iterations
Nov 10, 2016 Jonathan Moss RE: Estimation method using ITS and IMP iterations