RE: Getting rid of correlation issues between CL and volume parameters

From: Matt Hutmacher Date: November 25, 2013 technical Source: mail-archive.com
Hello all, I am a little concerned that this is more complicated than the simple trick we are talking about implementing. I think the trick can be used, but I am concerned about the empirical Bayes predictions using three random effects here, when thinking about the structural model, one could not fit such profiles individually using least squares due to lack of identifiability. The information is likely blurred between these random effects such that any plots of the empirical Bayes estimates would be likely misleading (shrinkage could be distributed in an odd way throughout). I am also not sure what the consequences would be for estimation for the FOCE case (maybe a multimodal issue?). If we ignore the extra correlation discussed by Nick below for now (this would require more thought) and just deal with correlation induced by F alone (and we ignore the constrain the F<=1 such that log-normal eta for F could be entertained), then this in my mind is a constrained OMEGA matrix optimization problem. That is, the variability in F places a specific structure on OMEGA. Only one more parameter (variance component) needs to be estimated than the number of compartments. For example, take a 2 compartment model (CL,Vc,Q,Vp). One can write the model as: CL=theta1*EXP(eta1-etaF) Vc=theta2*EXP(eta2-etaF) Q =theta3*EXP(eta3-etaF) Vp=theta4*EXP(eta4-etaF) The OMEGA matrix in terms of V11=Var(eta1) … V44=Var(eta4), VFF=Var(etaF), with Covar(etai,etaF)=0 is V11+VFF VFF VFF VFF VFF V22+VFF VFF VFF VFF VFF V33+VFF VFF VFF VFF VFF V44+VFF And one can see 5 identifiable parameters. To avoid 5 etas, maybe we can reparameterize using the (Log-)Cholesky decomposition. Let OMEGA=S’S where S is an upper triangular matrix, then S11^2=V11+VFF, S11*S12=VFF, S11*S13=VFF, S11*S14=VFF, etc (unless someone is really interested I will leave this out), such that elements of S, Sij, can be calculated in terms of V11, .. VFF. Then we can reparameterize the model ET1=S11*eta1 ET2=S12*eta1+S22*eta2 ET3=S13*eta1+S23*eta2+S33*eta3 ET4=S14*eta1+S24*eta2+S34*eta3+S44*eta4 Where these etas, are N(0,1) and CL=theta1*EXP(ET1), etc. Sorry to make this more complicated. I have not really examined this other than mere contemplation. Would be interested to know what people think. Kind regards, Matt
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From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Nick Holford Sent: Monday, November 25, 2013 13:43 To: 'nmusers' Subject: Re: [NMusers] Getting rid of correlation issues between CL and volume parameters Bob, You use an estimation method justification for choosing between estimating the covariance of CL and V and estimating the variance of F. An alternative view is to apply a fixed effect assumption based on pharmacokinetic theory. The fixed effect assumption is that some of the variation in CL and V is due to differences in bioavailability and other factors such as linear plasma protein binding and differences in the actual amount of drug in the oral formulation. This fixed effect assumption is described in the model by the variance of F. It is quite plausible to imagine that there is still some covariance between CL and V that is not related to the differences in F. For example, if you did not know the subject's weights and therefore could not account for the correlated effects of weight on CL and V. The estimation of the variance of F would only partly account for this because of the non-linear correlation of weight with CL and V. Another non-linear correlation would occur if plasma protein binding was non-linear in the range of measured total concentrations. In such case one might propose trying to estimate the covariance of CL and V as well as including F as a fixed effect and estimating the variance of F. Do you think that SAEM or IMP would be able to come up with a reasonable estimate of the covariance of CL and V? Best wishes, Nick On 26/11/2013 4:04 a.m., Bob Leary wrote: Nele, Basically what you have done is traded an off diagonal parameter in a two dimensional Omega matrix for an extra on-diagonal parameter in a three dimensional diagonal Omega matrix. Y0u still have 3 Omega parameters either way. For methods like SAEM and IMP, the two-dimensional formulation is much preferable since you end up in a lower 2-d dimensional eta space which a) is easier to sample, b) is easily mu-modeled (not the case for the 3-d formulation) , and c) SAEM and IMP methods handle full block Omegas very naturally, in fact more naturally than diagonal Omegas. With FOCEI it is not so clear if there would be any difference at all. -----Original Message----- From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Mueller-Plock, Nele Sent: Monday, November 25, 2013 2:05 AM To: Leonid Gibiansky; 'nmusers' Subject: RE: [NMusers] Getting rid of correlation issues between CL and volume parameters Dear Leonid, Thanks for your answer. Maybe I was not completely clear about the reasons why I tried to account for F1. The reason is that after oral dosing, a correlation between CL and should be present, as these parameters in reality represent CL/F and V/F. One way to account for this would be to estimate the correlation via the $OMEGA BLOCK syntax. As this is sometimes hard to estimate, I looked if any alternative is available, and then found the discussion of this topic in the provided link ( http://www.wright-dose.com/tip2.php). >From your answer, I would conclude that the proposed code should only account >for random between-subject variability, i.e. it should only consider the ETA >on F1, but not the THETA (which in my example had values of 1, 0.8 and 0.5). >Is this correct? So whereas an increase in ETA on F1 without accounting for the correlation would automatically result in positive ETA values for CL and V, even without any inherent variability in true CL and V, with the code F1=1 FF1=EXP(ETA(1)) CL=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/FF1 V=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/FF1 this would already be taken care of, and the $OMEGA BLOCK could be omitted. Right? Thanks and best Nele ______________________________________________________________ Dr. Nele Mueller-Plock, CAPM Principal Scientist Modeling and Simulation Global Pharmacometrics Therapeutic Area Group Takeda Pharmaceuticals International GmbH Thurgauerstrasse 130 8152 Glattpark-Opfikon (Zürich) Switzerland Visitor address: Alpenstrasse 3 8152 Glattpark-Opfikon (Zürich) Switzerland Phone: (+41) 44 / 55 51 404 Mobile: (+41) 79 / 654 33 99 mailto: [email protected] http://www.takeda.com -----Original Message----- From: Leonid Gibiansky [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: Freitag, 22. November 2013 19:44 To: Mueller-Plock, Nele; 'nmusers' Subject: Re: [NMusers] Getting rid of correlation issues between CL and volume parameters Nele, I am not sure why would you like to divide by F1. Can we just do it explicitly? F1=EXP(ETA(1)) (or F1=function(dose)*EXP(ETA(1)) CL=.. V=.. F1 can be > 1 as it is not absolute but relative (to the other subjects); I assume that this is oral dose, not IV, correct? In your code, be careful not to call it F1 as the nonmem will interpret it as bioavailability parameter, and you should not account for it twice. So it should be either F1=EXP(ETA(1)) CL=THETA()*EXP(ETA()) V=THETA()*EXP(ETA()) or F1=1 (can me implicit and omitted) FF1=EXP(ETA(1)) CL=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/FF1 V=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/FF1 but not F1=EXP(ETA(1)) CL=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/F1 V=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/F1 Leonid