RE: Getting rid of correlation issues between CL and volume parameters
Hello all,
I am a little concerned that this is more complicated than the simple trick we
are talking about implementing. I think the trick can be used, but I am
concerned about the empirical Bayes predictions using three random effects
here, when thinking about the structural model, one could not fit such profiles
individually using least squares due to lack of identifiability. The
information is likely blurred between these random effects such that any plots
of the empirical Bayes estimates would be likely misleading (shrinkage could be
distributed in an odd way throughout). I am also not sure what the
consequences would be for estimation for the FOCE case (maybe a multimodal
issue?). If we ignore the extra correlation discussed by Nick below for now
(this would require more thought) and just deal with correlation induced by F
alone (and we ignore the constrain the F<=1 such that log-normal eta for F
could be entertained), then this in my mind is a constrained OMEGA matrix
optimization problem. That is, the variability in F places a specific
structure on OMEGA. Only one more parameter (variance component) needs to be
estimated than the number of compartments. For example, take a 2 compartment
model (CL,Vc,Q,Vp). One can write the model as:
CL=theta1*EXP(eta1-etaF)
Vc=theta2*EXP(eta2-etaF)
Q =theta3*EXP(eta3-etaF)
Vp=theta4*EXP(eta4-etaF)
The OMEGA matrix in terms of V11=Var(eta1) … V44=Var(eta4), VFF=Var(etaF), with
Covar(etai,etaF)=0 is
V11+VFF VFF VFF VFF
VFF V22+VFF VFF VFF
VFF VFF V33+VFF VFF
VFF VFF VFF V44+VFF
And one can see 5 identifiable parameters. To avoid 5 etas, maybe we can
reparameterize using the (Log-)Cholesky decomposition. Let OMEGA=S’S where S
is an upper triangular matrix, then S11^2=V11+VFF, S11*S12=VFF, S11*S13=VFF,
S11*S14=VFF, etc (unless someone is really interested I will leave this out),
such that elements of S, Sij, can be calculated in terms of V11, .. VFF. Then
we can reparameterize the model
ET1=S11*eta1
ET2=S12*eta1+S22*eta2
ET3=S13*eta1+S23*eta2+S33*eta3
ET4=S14*eta1+S24*eta2+S34*eta3+S44*eta4
Where these etas, are N(0,1) and CL=theta1*EXP(ET1), etc. Sorry to make this
more complicated. I have not really examined this other than mere
contemplation. Would be interested to know what people think.
Kind regards,
Matt
Quoted reply history
From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On
Behalf Of Nick Holford
Sent: Monday, November 25, 2013 13:43
To: 'nmusers'
Subject: Re: [NMusers] Getting rid of correlation issues between CL and volume
parameters
Bob,
You use an estimation method justification for choosing between estimating the
covariance of CL and V and estimating the variance of F.
An alternative view is to apply a fixed effect assumption based on
pharmacokinetic theory. The fixed effect assumption is that some of the
variation in CL and V is due to differences in bioavailability and other
factors such as linear plasma protein binding and differences in the actual
amount of drug in the oral formulation. This fixed effect assumption is
described in the model by the variance of F.
It is quite plausible to imagine that there is still some covariance between CL
and V that is not related to the differences in F. For example, if you did not
know the subject's weights and therefore could not account for the correlated
effects of weight on CL and V. The estimation of the variance of F would only
partly account for this because of the non-linear correlation of weight with CL
and V. Another non-linear correlation would occur if plasma protein binding was
non-linear in the range of measured total concentrations.
In such case one might propose trying to estimate the covariance of CL and V as
well as including F as a fixed effect and estimating the variance of F. Do you
think that SAEM or IMP would be able to come up with a reasonable estimate of
the covariance of CL and V?
Best wishes,
Nick
On 26/11/2013 4:04 a.m., Bob Leary wrote:
Nele,
Basically what you have done is traded an off diagonal parameter in a two
dimensional Omega matrix for an extra on-diagonal parameter in a three
dimensional diagonal Omega matrix.
Y0u still have 3 Omega parameters either way.
For methods like SAEM and IMP, the two-dimensional formulation is much
preferable since you end up in a lower 2-d dimensional eta space which a) is
easier to sample,
b) is easily mu-modeled (not the case for the 3-d formulation) , and c) SAEM
and IMP methods handle full block Omegas very naturally, in fact more
naturally than
diagonal Omegas. With FOCEI it is not so clear if there would be any
difference at all.
-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On
Behalf Of Mueller-Plock, Nele
Sent: Monday, November 25, 2013 2:05 AM
To: Leonid Gibiansky; 'nmusers'
Subject: RE: [NMusers] Getting rid of correlation issues between CL and volume
parameters
Dear Leonid,
Thanks for your answer. Maybe I was not completely clear about the reasons why
I tried to account for F1. The reason is that after oral dosing, a correlation
between CL and should be present, as these parameters in reality represent CL/F
and V/F. One way to account for this would be to estimate the correlation via
the $OMEGA BLOCK syntax. As this is sometimes hard to estimate, I looked if any
alternative is available, and then found the discussion of this topic in the
provided link ( http://www.wright-dose.com/tip2.php).
>From your answer, I would conclude that the proposed code should only account
>for random between-subject variability, i.e. it should only consider the ETA
>on F1, but not the THETA (which in my example had values of 1, 0.8 and 0.5).
>Is this correct?
So whereas an increase in ETA on F1 without accounting for the correlation
would automatically result in positive ETA values for CL and V, even without
any inherent variability in true CL and V, with the code
F1=1
FF1=EXP(ETA(1))
CL=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/FF1
V=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/FF1
this would already be taken care of, and the $OMEGA BLOCK could be omitted.
Right?
Thanks and best
Nele
______________________________________________________________
Dr. Nele Mueller-Plock, CAPM
Principal Scientist Modeling and Simulation Global Pharmacometrics Therapeutic
Area Group
Takeda Pharmaceuticals International GmbH Thurgauerstrasse 130
8152 Glattpark-Opfikon (Zürich)
Switzerland
Visitor address:
Alpenstrasse 3
8152 Glattpark-Opfikon (Zürich)
Switzerland
Phone: (+41) 44 / 55 51 404
Mobile: (+41) 79 / 654 33 99
mailto: [email protected]
http://www.takeda.com
-----Original Message-----
From: Leonid Gibiansky [mailto:[email protected]]
Sent: Freitag, 22. November 2013 19:44
To: Mueller-Plock, Nele; 'nmusers'
Subject: Re: [NMusers] Getting rid of correlation issues between CL and volume
parameters
Nele,
I am not sure why would you like to divide by F1.
Can we just do it explicitly?
F1=EXP(ETA(1))
(or F1=function(dose)*EXP(ETA(1))
CL=..
V=..
F1 can be > 1 as it is not absolute but relative (to the other subjects); I
assume that this is oral dose, not IV, correct?
In your code, be careful not to call it F1 as the nonmem will interpret it as
bioavailability parameter, and you should not account for it twice.
So it should be either
F1=EXP(ETA(1))
CL=THETA()*EXP(ETA())
V=THETA()*EXP(ETA())
or
F1=1 (can me implicit and omitted)
FF1=EXP(ETA(1))
CL=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/FF1
V=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/FF1
but not
F1=EXP(ETA(1))
CL=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/F1
V=THETA()*EXP(ETA())/F1
Leonid