RE: VPC for non-uniform sampling

From: Martin Bergstrand Date: January 11, 2012 technical Source: mail-archive.com
Dear Norman, Ayyappa and NMusers, The situation described by Ayyappa does not necessary call for any out of the ordinary adjustments of a VPC. Especially so since it is stated that observations are made at random. If the design in any way was conditioned on the previous observations on the other hand the situation would be different. In the case when the design is conditioned on the observations e.g. TDM studies we have recently demonstrated that prediction corrected VPCs (pcVPCs) are a better diagnostic than traditional VPCs [1]. The pcVPC and pvcVPC (prediction and variability corrected VPC) have also been demonstrated to have advantages in the presence of other influential independent variables than the one depicted on the x-axis of the VPC (typically time). It can be worthwhile to once again point out that a VPC does not necessarily have to have time as the x-variable and DV as the y-variable. For example in the Ayyappa example time-after-dose might be an informative alternative as an x-variable and in some cases change from baseline can be an informative y-variable. Regarding the questions from Norman Z: Prediction and variability correction are new functionalities that is included in released versions of PsN. PsN also includes a lot of options for binning and further development in this field is on its way. An atomized binning algorithm was recently published by Lavielle et.al. [2] and implemented in MONOLIX. Atomized binning procedures will also be included in future PsN releases. Other rather recent functionalities in PsN with regards to VPCs is the ability to do VPCs for Kaplan-Meier plots (time-to-event), VPCs functionality for categorical data and handling of censored observations (BQL, dropout etc). As previously discussed at PAGE and NMusers “Standardized Visual Predictive Check” is the same as NPDEs previously developed by France Mentré. [1] Bergstrand M, Hooker AC, Wallin JE, Karlsson MO. Prediction-Corrected Visual Predictive Checks for Diagnosing Nonlinear Mixed-Effects Models. AAPS J. 2011 Feb 8. [2] Lavielle M, Bleakley K. Automatic data binning for improved visual diagnosis of pharmacometric models. J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn. 2011;38(6):861-71. More about the PsN VPC functionalities can be read in this document: http://psn.sourceforge.net/pdfdocs/npc_vpc_userguide.pdf Kind regards, Martin Bergstrand, PhD Pharmacometrics Research Group Dept of Pharmaceutical Biosciences Uppsala University Sweden
Quoted reply history
From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Norman Z Sent: Wednesday, January 11, 2012 2:30 AM To: nmusers Subject: Re: [NMusers] VPC for non-uniform sampling It's quite interesting to see the discussions. As pointed out, there have been a number of publications regarding better ways to do VPC. A follow up question would be if these methods will be integrated into the PsN, which is widely used to carry out standard VPC. Thanks, Norman On Tue, Jan 10, 2012 at 6:09 PM, Nick Holford <[email protected]> wrote: Simulating the data is only part of a VPC. The other part is describing the distribution of the actual observations. If data is collected honestly with actual sampling times then of observation times will be different for every subject whether or not the protocol also had some random element. A solution to this is to bin the observed (and simulated) values around some suitable times e.g. using nominal protocol times or with more complex algorithms (see Lavielle et al. 2011). Then the distribution of observations and simulations can be compared at each of those times. Lavielle M, Bleakley K. Automatic data binning for improved visual diagnosis of pharmacometric models. J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn. 2011;38(6):861-71. On Tue, Jan 10, 2012 at 4:11 PM, Ayyappa Chaturvedula <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote: Dear expert users, I am working on a dataset where subjects were sampled at different visits at random. I have developed a model for the data but not sure how to do a VPC as they do not have the same sampling scheme. I appreciate some guidance in this. Regards, Ayyappa -- Indrajeet Singh,PhD Sr. Clinical Pharmacokineticist Abbott Labs, North Chicago, IL
Jan 10, 2012 Ayyappa Chaturvedula VPC for non-uniform sampling
Jan 10, 2012 Jean Lavigne RE: VPC for non-uniform sampling
Jan 10, 2012 Indrajeet Singh Re: VPC for non-uniform sampling
Jan 10, 2012 Nick Holford Re: VPC for non-uniform sampling
Jan 11, 2012 Norman Z Re: VPC for non-uniform sampling
Jan 11, 2012 Martin Bergstrand RE: VPC for non-uniform sampling
Jan 12, 2012 Emmanuelle Comets Fwd: RE: VPC for non-uniform sampling
Jan 13, 2012 Diane Wang RE: RE: VPC for non-uniform sampling
Jan 14, 2012 Diane Wang RE: RE: VPC for non-uniform sampling