Re: estimating Ka from dataset combining rich sample study and sparse sampling study

From: Ethan Wu Date: June 18, 2009 technical Source: mail-archive.com
Dear all, thanks to Mats suggestion, using full cov matrix did assign Eta more reasonably to Ka, with not very precised estimates another suggestion is that, there may be some underline difference in the structure model between sparse MD data, and rich SD -- by visual inspection of sparse MD data, I really can't think it can support more complext model itself with 2-3 datapoints per subject in each study period (total of 2), with the sampling the same across subjects. another suggestion is that to model study individually, both Ka and IIV on Ka estimated from sparse sample study were much larger. so I think I will further pursue exploration of IOV, as Jakob pointed out.
Quoted reply history
________________________________ From: James G Wright <[email protected]> To: Stephen Duffull <[email protected]>; Mats Karlsson <[email protected]>; "Ribbing, Jakob" <[email protected]>; Ethan Wu <[email protected]>; Jurgen Bulitta <[email protected]>; [email protected] Cc: Roger Jelliffe <[email protected]>; "Neely, Michael" <[email protected]> Sent: Thursday, June 18, 2009 6:56:57 AM Subject: RE: [NMusers] estimating Ka from dataset combining rich sample study and sparse sampling study Dear all, I agree that this kind of behaviour suggests there is some problem with the model (most likely a lack of exchangeability). I think the ideas suggested are all good, but the first thing I would try is to separate residual noise for the two studies with an indicator variable. It is likely that study procedures, precision of recorded sampling times etc. vary between the two studiess. Best regards, James James G WrightPhD Scientist Wright Dose Ltd Tel: 44 (0) 772 5636914 -----Original Message----- From: [email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Stephen Duffull Sent: 18 June 2009 07:04 To: Mats Karlsson; 'Ribbing, Jakob'; 'Ethan Wu'; 'Jurgen Bulitta'; [email protected] Cc: 'Roger Jelliffe'; 'Neely, Michael' Subject: RE: [NMusers] estimating Ka from dataset combining rich sample study and sparse sampling study Dear Ethan I concur with Mats’s comments below. As a note, from a design perspective adding additional data to an experiment cannot result in less precise parameter estimates under the assumption that the individuals from the two data sets are exchangeable. Under this assumption therefore the Sparse data should merely add information to the Rich data. That the Sparse data is affecting the parameter estimates from the Rich data suggests that the two data sets are not exchangeable (different centre, different assay, different covariates ...). Another possible way to investigate the differences between the two data sets would be to analyse them sequentially, perhaps with consideration for using the analysis from the Rich data as an informative prior for the analysis of the Sparse data and see where this leads you. Kind regards Steve -- Professor Stephen Duffull Chair of Clinical Pharmacy School of Pharmacy University of Otago PO Box 913 Dunedin New Zealand E: [email protected] P: +64 3 479 5044 F: +64 3 479 7034 Design software: www.winpopt.com From:[email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Mats Karlsson Sent: Thursday, 18 June 2009 9:17 a.m. To: 'Ribbing, Jakob'; 'Ethan Wu'; 'Jurgen Bulitta'; [email protected] Cc: 'Roger Jelliffe'; 'Neely, Michael' Subject: RE: [NMusers] estimating Ka from dataset combining rich sample study and sparse sampling study Dear Ethan, Variances estimated to be zero may result from fixing off-diagonal variances to zero (i.e. not using BLOCKs in IIV). Here, however, it may be that there are systematic differences between the sparse and the rich data experiments. Maybe fasting/fed status or something else is different. If the fit to the rich data is markedly worse when including the rich data, at least one parameter is different between the two situations. I would explore what parameter(s) that would be. In addition to Jakob’s suggestions below, the two data sets together may indicate a more complex structural model that a single profile indicated. Maybe you need to go to a two-compartment for example. Best regards, Mats Mats Karlsson, PhD Professor of Pharmacometrics Dept of Pharmaceutical Biosciences Uppsala University Box 591 751 24 Uppsala Sweden phone: +46 18 4714105 fax: +46 18 471 4003 From:[email protected] [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ribbing, Jakob Sent: Wednesday, June 17, 2009 10:43 PM To: Ethan Wu; Jurgen Bulitta; [email protected] Cc: Roger Jelliffe; Neely, Michael Subject: RE: [NMusers] estimating Ka from dataset combining rich sample study and sparse sampling study Hi Ethan, If OMEGA(?) for KA is drastically reduced when including the sparse data, then something is wrong with your model and in this case it is not the estimation method or assumption on distribution of individual parameter). Eta-shrinkage would not drastically reduce the estimate of OMEGA, since this estimate is driven by the subjects/studies which contain information on the parameter. If the sparse data is multiple dosing it may be that KA is variable between occasions, rather than between subjects (assuming the sparse data contain some information on KA). Or if the sparse data is from a less well-controlled study or a different population, it may be that increased IIV in other parts of the model (e.g. OMEGA on V) is making IIV in KA appear low for the rich study, when fitting the two studies together. If you get the covariate model in place this problem will be solved. For the simple model you have it should be quick to start out assuming that most parameters (THETAs and OMEGAs) are different between the two studies and then reduce down to a model which is stable and parsimonious. Obviously, if you eventually can explain the differences using more mechanistic covariates than study number that is of more use. Cheers Jakob