Regression with errors in X

From: Daren J Austin Date: January 29, 2003 technical Source: cognigencorp.com
From:daren.j.austin@gsk.com Subject:[NMusers] Regression with errors in X Date:Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:25:39 +0000 Dear all, I am performing a mixed-effects linear regression where I am unwilling to omit the errors in the X variable. My analysis fits Y[i,j,k] = a[i] + b[i] X[j,k] + EPS[i] where subscript i denotes a study index, j denotes treatment and k time. Note that this is a one to many regression (X is used multiple times) and I am assuming that X is the mean of a normally distributed variable with measured standard deviation (which I do not wish to ignore because the CV is 25-40%). To incorporate this into my model I have used the following code, and I have assumed that the residual can vary across studies $PRED INCEPT = THETA(1)+ETA(1) SLOPE=THETA(2)+ETA(2) F=INCEPT+SLOPE*XBAR Y=F+SLOPE*THETA(3)*ERR(1)+ERR(2)*EXP(ETA(3)) IPRED=F IRES=IPRED-DLF1 $THETA 0.1 0.3 0.0441 FIX $OMEGA BLOCK(2) 0.1 0.01 0.1 $OMEGA 0.1 $SIGMA 1 FIX 0.1 $EST MAXEVAL=9999 SIGDIGITS=4 METHOD=1 MSFO=msf1 INTER $COVARIANCE $TABLE ID ETA3 XBAR IPRED IRES NOPRINT ONEHEADER FILE=RUN1.PAR THETA(3) is the variance in the X variable and is fixed to 0.0441 (from measurement). ERR(1) is fixed to unity to ensure that it is N(0,1) for every observation. Thus the error structure has two terms: SLOPE*THETA(3)*ERR(1) which reflects how far the X variable has been pulled around in the regression and ERR(2)*EXP(ETA(3)) which is the residual variancefor a particular study. What I would like to do is extract the numerical values of the first error term, allowing me to plot 'predicted X' vs 'predicted Y'. Is there an easy way of obtaining the values of ERR(1) and ERR(2) for each observation? The objective functions are as follows: BASE model: -2167 Variable ETA: -2213 ERROR IN X and variable ETA: -2223 A covariance step is completed, and all parameters uncorrelated. Incorporating variability in X is clearly warranted. Kind regards, Daren Dr. Daren J. Austin Principal Pharmacometrician Clinical Pharmacology Discovery Medicine GlaxoSmithKline R&D Tel: 7-711 2073 or +44 (0) 20 8966 2073 _________________________________________