Re: Validation of models for categorical data

From: Lewis B. Sheiner Date: May 08, 2000 technical Source: cognigencorp.com
From: LSheiner <lewis@c255.ucsf.edu> Subject: Re: Validation of models for categorical data Date: Mon, 08 May 2000 12:44:57 -0700 Inaki, The logistic function is highly non-linear. What you are observing I think is that for random variable x, and arbtrary function f, where E(.) is the expectation operator, E(f(x)) != f(E(x)) When f is linear, then the above is an equality. Here's an example: p(y) = bernoulli(x) logit(x) = theta + eta theta = -3 omega = 3 p(E(x)) = .05 E(y) = .21 Lewis. PS. Here's the S+ code I used to compute the above. > exp(-3)/(1+exp(-3)) [1] 0.04742587 > nums _ rnorm(100,-3,3) > mean(exp(nums)/(1+exp(nums))) [1] 0.219993 -- _/ _/ _/_/ _/_/_/ _/_/_/ Lewis B Sheiner, MD (lewis@c255.ucsf.edu) _/ _/ _/ _/_ _/_/ Professor: Lab. Med., Bioph. Sci., Med. _/ _/ _/ _/ _/ Box 0626, UCSF, SF, CA, 94143-0626 _/_/ _/_/ _/_/_/ _/ 415-476-1965 (v), 415-476-2796 (fax)
May 08, 2000 Iñaki F. Trocóniz Validation of models for categorical data
May 08, 2000 Lewis B. Sheiner Re: Validation of models for categorical data